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Analysis: Special Votes Could Strip Right of Majority, Elevate Left.

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Analysis: Special Votes Could Strip Right of Majority, Elevate Left. ๐˜›๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ฅ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ข๐˜ญ ๐˜ด๐˜ฑ๐˜ฆ๐˜ค๐˜ช๐˜ข๐˜ญ ๐˜ท๐˜ฐ๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ด ๐˜ด๐˜ถ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ต ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ๐˜ง๐˜ต ๐˜ฃ๐˜ญ๐˜ฐ๐˜ค. ๐˜๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ข๐˜ญ ๐˜ค๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ฏ๐˜ต ๐˜ค๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ญ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ท๐˜ฆ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜™๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต ๐˜ฃ๐˜ญ๐˜ฐ๐˜ค ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ต ๐˜ด๐˜ฉ๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ต ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜“๐˜ฆ๐˜ง๐˜ต ๐˜ฃ๐˜ญ๐˜ฐ๐˜ค ๐˜จ๐˜ฆ๐˜ต๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฏ๐˜ถ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ด ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜จ๐˜ฐ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ฏ. Analysis: Bruce Alpine. P reliminary results from the 7 November 2026 election, with 100% of ordinary votes counted, show Labour on 29.4% (36 seats), National on 29.2% (42 seats, all electorate), Greens on 13.3% (16), ACT on 10.9% (13), NZ First on 9.8% (12), Opportunity on 6.0% (7), and Te Pฤti Mฤori on 0.6% (5).  Preliminary result for election'26. file An 11-seat overhang expanded Parliament to 131 seats, requiring 66 for a majority.  The right bloc (National + ACT + NZ First) holds 67; the left (Labour + Greens + Te Pฤti Mฤori) holds 57. Special votes could leave the right bloc at least one seat short of a majority, opening a pat...

Chris Hipkins is not reading the room on wealth taxes.

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Chris Hipkins is not reading the room on wealth taxes. ๐˜“๐˜ข๐˜ฃ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ณ ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฎ ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฎ๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ด๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ต๐˜ถ๐˜ฏ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜บ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ช๐˜ด ๐˜ฆ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ๐˜ค๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ฃ๐˜บ ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ธ๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฎ๐˜ข๐˜ซ๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜บ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง ๐˜ท๐˜ฐ๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ด. Analysis: Bruce Alpine. A n Ipsos survey in September 2026 found 64% support for a 2.5% annual wealth tax on individual net assets above $10 million (family home exempt), with only 26% opposed.  The latest 1News Vote Compass data (drawn from roughly 186,000 responses in early-to-mid October) shows 62% of respondents want wealthier people to pay somewhat or much more tax—majorities even among higher earners, including 53% of those over $100,000.  Support has softened slightly from the 67% peak in 2023 but remains a clear majority view.  Cost of living and healthcare dominate voter concerns; many see the tax system as tilted toward those whose wealth is held in assets rather than wages. Labour’s response under Hipkins is a li...

Trickle Down Theory: The Lie For Modern Capitalism

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Trickle Down Theory: The Lie For Modern Capitalism ๐˜Ž๐˜ฐ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ต๐˜ด ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ต ๐˜ค๐˜ถ๐˜ต ๐˜ต๐˜ข๐˜น๐˜ฆ๐˜ด ๐˜ง๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ค๐˜ฉ ๐˜ฉ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฑ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฆ๐˜ง๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ด ๐˜ธ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ญ๐˜ฅ “๐˜ต๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ค๐˜ฌ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฐ๐˜ธ๐˜ฏ” ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ฅ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜บ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฑ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฎ๐˜ข๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ข ๐˜ค๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ณ ๐˜ฎ๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ข๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ. Analysis: Bruce Alpine. I n Aotearoa New Zealand this approach has been tried more than once, and it has not worked well for lower-income families.  In the 1980s, under what became known as Rogernomics , the top personal tax rate was cut dramatically from 66 percent down to 33 percent.  The government also introduced GST and reduced many other progressive elements of the tax system.  The promise was straightforward: if high earners and businesses paid less tax, they would invest more, create jobs, expand the economy, and eventually lift living standards for everyone.  What actually happened was very different.  Income inequality rose sharply.  The richest 1 percent roughly doubled the...

Labour and National are bleeding support to minor parties

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Labour and National are bleeding support to minor parties ๐˜“๐˜ข๐˜ฃ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ณ ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜•๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ข๐˜ญ ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ด๐˜ถ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ต ๐˜ธ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ฉ ๐˜ท๐˜ฐ๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ด ๐˜ข๐˜ธ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฅ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฎ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฆ๐˜ด. ๐˜๐˜ด ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ช๐˜ด ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ๐˜ช๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ท๐˜ฐ๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ด ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฎ๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ถ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜”๐˜”๐˜— ๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ด๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ง๐˜ข๐˜ค๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ? Analysis: Bruce Alpine. A otearoa New Zealand’s two main parties are at a 30-year low in combined party-vote support. Recent mid-2026 polls put National and Labour combined together in the high 50s to low 60s — levels last seen around the first MMP election in 1996.  National has hovered in the high 20s to low 30s under Christopher Luxon; Labour has slipped into the high 20s in several surveys after earlier recoveries.  Meanwhile the Greens, NZ First, ACT and especially the Opportunity Party have absorbed the rest.  Opportunity has repeatedly polled near or above the 5% threshold, including a 6.1% result in one August Curia poll , an...

POLL: Opportunity Party Crosses MMP Threshold Amid Luxon Leadership Crisis

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POLL: Opportunity Party Crosses MMP Threshold Amid Luxon Leadership Crisis ๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ญ๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ต 1๐˜•๐˜ฆ๐˜ธ๐˜ด ๐˜๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ข๐˜ฏ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฐ๐˜ญ๐˜ญ (8–11 ๐˜ˆ๐˜ถ๐˜จ๐˜ถ๐˜ด๐˜ต) ๐˜ด๐˜ฉ๐˜ฐ๐˜ธ๐˜ด ๐˜“๐˜ข๐˜ฃ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ณ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ 30% (๐˜ฅ๐˜ฐ๐˜ธ๐˜ฏ 2), ๐˜•๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ข๐˜ญ ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ฅ๐˜บ ๐˜ข๐˜ต 29%, ๐˜Ž๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ด 12%, ๐˜ˆ๐˜Š๐˜› ๐˜ถ๐˜ฑ ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ 9%, ๐˜–๐˜ฑ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ต๐˜ถ๐˜ฏ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜บ ๐˜ด๐˜ถ๐˜ณ๐˜จ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ 3 ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฐ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ต๐˜ด ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ 8%, ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜•๐˜ก ๐˜๐˜ช๐˜ณ๐˜ด๐˜ต ๐˜ฅ๐˜ณ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฑ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ 3 ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฐ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ต๐˜ด ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ 8%. Analysis: Bruce Alpine. T he latest 1News Verian poll (fielded 8–11 August 2026, sample 847, margin of error ±3.4%) delivers a clear verdict on the National-led government’s fragility and the collapse of traditional two-party dominance.  Labour sits on 30% (down 2 points from June), National holds steady at 29%, the Greens fall to 12%, ACT rises sharply to 9%, NZ First drops 3 points to 8%, Opportunity surges 3 points to 8% (clearing the threshold for the first time in a 1News Verian poll), and Te Pฤti Mฤori sits at 1%. Party standings. file Projected seats in a 125-member House (assu...

Luxon’s ‘Surprise’ on MMP Was 30 Years in the Making

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Luxon’s ‘Surprise’ on MMP Was 30 Years in the Making ๐˜“๐˜ถ๐˜น๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ’๐˜ด ๐˜ค๐˜ฐ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ต๐˜ด ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ง๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ๐˜ค๐˜ต ๐˜ข ๐˜ญ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜จ-๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜•๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ข๐˜ญ ๐˜—๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ต๐˜บ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ง๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ค๐˜ฆ, ๐˜ฆ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ช๐˜ง ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฎ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ช๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ค๐˜ต๐˜ฏ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ด ๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ถ๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฑ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง๐˜ง ๐˜จ๐˜ถ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฅ. Opinion: Bruce Alpine. O n Thursday 6 August, Prime Minister Christopher Luxon told Newstalk ZB that if National is returned to power he would hold a referendum on the MMP (Mixed Member Proportional) voting system, alongside one on moving to a four-year parliamentary term.  He framed it as a constitutional “check-in”: after three decades, is this still the system New Zealanders want?  He also linked it to the practical realities of coalition government, remarking that he did not need “some yahoo or numpty” from another party around the Cabinet table if National could secure a stronger mandate on its own.  The remarks surprised coalition partners — Winston Peters called them “inexplicable...