ℙ𝕆𝕃𝕃: ℂ𝕠𝕒𝕝𝕚𝕥𝕚𝕠𝕟 𝕣𝕖𝕞𝕒𝕚𝕟 𝕚𝕟 𝕗𝕣𝕠𝕟𝕥, 𝕓𝕦𝕥 𝕃𝕒𝕓𝕠𝕦𝕣 𝕘𝕒𝕚𝕟 𝕤𝕖𝕒𝕥𝕤

𝕋𝕙𝕖 𝕔𝕠𝕒𝕝𝕚𝕥𝕚𝕠𝕟 𝕚𝕤 𝕙𝕠𝕝𝕕𝕚𝕟𝕘 𝕒 𝕤𝕥𝕖𝕒𝕕𝕪 𝕘𝕣𝕚𝕡 𝕠𝕟 𝕡𝕠𝕨𝕖𝕣 𝕒𝕔𝕔𝕠𝕣𝕕𝕚𝕟𝕘 𝕥𝕠 𝕥𝕙𝕖 𝕝𝕒𝕥𝕖𝕤𝕥 𝟙ℕ𝕖𝕨𝕤 𝕍𝕖𝕣𝕚𝕒𝕟 ℙ𝕠𝕝𝕝, 𝕓𝕦𝕥 𝕚𝕥𝕤 𝕣𝕖𝕤𝕦𝕝𝕥𝕤 𝕤𝕖𝕖 𝕤𝕖𝕒𝕥𝕤 𝕝𝕠𝕤𝕥 𝕗𝕠𝕣 ℕ𝕒𝕥𝕚𝕠𝕟𝕒𝕝 𝕒𝕟𝕕 𝕘𝕒𝕚𝕟𝕖𝕕 𝕗𝕠𝕣 𝕃𝕒𝕓𝕠𝕦𝕣.

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he poll also found 40% of voters think New Zealand is in "worse shape" and 30% "better shape" than before the election, one year ago today.

The poll, which surveyed 1000 eligible voters and ran from October 5 to 9, would see the coalition returned to power with 63 seats if an election were to be held today - the one-year anniversary of the 2023 general election.

National, on 37% of the party vote in the poll, was down 1% on the last poll, which was held in August. Labour was also down 1% on 29%, the Greens up 1% on 12%, ACT up 1% on 8% and New Zealand First on 5%, down 1%.

Te Pāti Māori was on 4%, steady on the last poll. Non-parliamentary party The Opportunities Party was up 2% to 3% - not enough to enter Parliament without an electorate seat.

Undecided voters made up 9% of those polled, steady on the last poll.

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The numbers meant National would have 47 seats - down two from their actual seats in Parliament. Labour would have 37, up three on its current seat entitlement.

file: Johnny HD

The Green Party - plagued with setbacks this year - gained one seat to have 15, while ACT lost one with 10 seats on the poll results. New Zealand First would also lose two seats, with six, and Te Pāti Māori would stay the same with six seats.

Pollster Verian’s calculation assumed Te Pāti Māori retains its six Māori electorate seats.

Luxon and Hipkins both drop

In the preferred prime minister stakes, National's Christopher Luxon remained on top with 25%, but down 3% on the last poll. 

Labour leader Chris Hipkins was also down 3% to 15%.

(Source: 1News)

Greens co-leader Chlöe Swarbrick was in third place as preferred prime minister with the support of 6% of those polled, down 1% on the last poll.

75% of Labour voters support Chris Hipkins as leader

Current Deputy Prime Minister Winston Peters was fourth on 6%, up 1%, ahead of future deputy prime minister David Seymour, steady on 4%.

Labour 'slowly rebuilding' - Hipkins

Labour leader Chris Hipkins told 1News polls "bounced around a bit from month to month" but the trend, in his view, was that Labour was "slowly rebuilding its support".

"That's what we set out to do after the last election. We knew that rebuilding our support, getting ourselves into shape to win the next election wasn't going to be an overnight process."

He said in the year since the election Labour had got out "listening to New Zealanders".

TV1/Verian voter trend (since election 2023)

On his preferred prime minister result of 15%, he said he was "not that worried about those ratings at this point in the election cycle".

He said Leaders of the Opposition "very seldomly poll particularly strongly" in the first year after a general election.

Hipkins said much of the public could see the current Government was "taking New Zealand backwards" but were otherwise not that focused on how they might vote at the next election.

He said those who voted for change at the election did not think they were voting to "increase smoking [or] to cut funding for the health system and send it into crisis [or] cutting funding to build new homes".

"Those are the very things this Government have done and I don't think that's what Kiwis had in mind when they voted for change at the last election."

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Seats in the House

(Calculation assumes Te Pāti Māori retains its electorates.)

National – 47

Labour – 37

Green – 15

ACT – 10

New Zealand First – 6

Te Pāti Māori – 6

Preferred prime minister

Christopher Luxon – 25% (down 3%)

Chris Hipkins – 15% (down 3%)

Chlöe Swarbrick – 6% (down 1%)

Winston Peters – 6% (up 1%)

David Seymour – 4% (steady)

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