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An updated FiveThirtyEight average of Trumpβs approval ratings on March 4 showed him going underwater for the first time since reoccupying the White House, with 47.6 percent approval and 47.9 percent disapproval.
That puts Trump back in the same territory of public opinion he occupied during his first term as president, where (per Gallup) he never achieved more than 50 percent job approval, and averaged a mere 41 percent.
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Additional Reading:.
Perhaps Trump will get lucky and conditions in the country will improve enough to validate his agenda, but itβs more likely that the same sour public climate that overwhelmed Joe Biden will now afflict his predecessor and successor.
The Reuters/Ipsos survey that pushed Trumpβs numbers into negative territory showed a mood very different from the 47th presidentβs boasts about a new βgolden ageβ for our country:
Thirty-four percent of Americans say that the country is headed in the right direction, compared to 49% who say it is off on the wrong track. When it comes to several specific issues, Americans are more likely to say things are off on the wrong track than going in the right direction: cost of living (22% right direction / 60% wrong track), the national economy (31% right direction / 51% wrong track), national politics (33% right direction / 50% wrong track), American foreign policy (33% right direction / 49% wrong track), and employment and jobs (33% right direction / 47% wrong track).
So all the hype about Trump being a popular president who was in the midst of engineering a major realignment of the American electorate is already looking more than a bit hollow. Trump has a solid Republican base of support and a solid Democratic opposition, with independents currently leaning towards the Democratic Party on most issues.
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Perhaps Trumpβs agenda will gain momentum and support, but since heβs not trying to reach out beyond his partyβs base at all, heβs going to need a lift from Americans who only voted for him in 2024 as the lesser of evils and may not vote in the 2026 midterms at all.
At present Trump has lost whatever presidential βhoneymoonβ he initially enjoyed after his return to the White House, and needs to find new converts to return to genuine popularity.
Heβs not off to a great start.
