𝕋𝕣𝕦𝕞𝕡’𝕤 𝔸𝕡𝕡𝕣𝕠𝕧𝕒𝕝 ℝ𝕒𝕥𝕚𝕟𝕘 𝔾𝕠𝕖𝕤 𝕌𝕟𝕕𝕖𝕣𝕨𝕒𝕥𝕖𝕣

𝔼𝕧𝕖𝕟 𝕒𝕤 𝕙𝕖 𝕨𝕒𝕤 𝕕𝕖𝕝𝕚𝕧𝕖𝕣𝕚𝕟𝕘 𝕥𝕙𝕖 𝕞𝕠𝕤𝕥 𝕡𝕒𝕣𝕥𝕚𝕤𝕒𝕟 𝕒𝕕𝕕𝕣𝕖𝕤𝕤 𝕥𝕠 ℂ𝕠𝕟𝕘𝕣𝕖𝕤𝕤 𝕞𝕒𝕪𝕓𝕖 𝕖𝕧𝕖𝕣, 𝔻𝕠𝕟𝕒𝕝𝕕 𝕋𝕣𝕦𝕞𝕡’𝕤 𝕡𝕦𝕓𝕝𝕚𝕔 𝕤𝕦𝕡𝕡𝕠𝕣𝕥 𝕤𝕖𝕖𝕞𝕖𝕕 𝕥𝕠 𝕓𝕖 𝕣𝕖𝕘𝕦𝕝𝕒𝕣𝕝𝕪 𝕖𝕣𝕠𝕕𝕚𝕟𝕘.

A

n updated FiveThirtyEight average of Trump’s approval ratings on March 4 showed him going underwater for the first time since reoccupying the White House, with 47.6 percent approval and 47.9 percent disapproval. 

That puts Trump back in the same territory of public opinion he occupied during his first term as president, where (per Gallup) he never achieved more than 50 percent job approval, and averaged a mere 41 percent. 

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Additional Reading:

𝕀𝕤 𝔻𝕠𝕟𝕒𝕝𝕕 𝕋𝕣𝕦𝕞𝕡 𝕍𝕝𝕒𝕕𝕚𝕞𝕚𝕣 ℙ𝕦𝕥𝕚𝕟'𝕤: '𝕌𝕤𝕖𝕗𝕦𝕝 𝕀𝕕𝕚𝕠𝕥'

𝕋𝕣𝕦𝕞𝕡𝕤 𝕞𝕚𝕤𝕞𝕒𝕟𝕒𝕘𝕖𝕞𝕖𝕟𝕥 𝕕𝕣𝕚𝕧𝕚𝕟𝕘 𝕖𝕔𝕠𝕟𝕠𝕞𝕪 𝕚𝕟𝕥𝕠 𝕣𝕖𝕔𝕖𝕤𝕤𝕚𝕠𝕟

𝕋𝕣𝕦𝕞𝕡 𝕙𝕒𝕤𝕥𝕖𝕟𝕤 𝕥𝕙𝕖 𝕕𝕖𝕔𝕝𝕚𝕟𝕖 𝕠𝕗 𝕥𝕙𝕖 𝕌𝕊

𝕍𝕒𝕟𝕔𝕖 𝕗𝕝𝕖𝕖 𝕥𝕠 𝕦𝕟𝕕𝕚𝕔𝕝𝕠𝕤𝕖𝕕 𝕝𝕠𝕔𝕒𝕥𝕚𝕠𝕟 𝕒𝕗𝕥𝕖𝕣 𝕡𝕣𝕠𝕥𝕖𝕤𝕥𝕖𝕣𝕤 𝕕𝕚𝕤𝕣𝕦𝕡𝕥 𝕍𝕖𝕣𝕞𝕠𝕟𝕥 𝕤𝕜𝕚 𝕥𝕣𝕚𝕡.

𝕎𝕠𝕣𝕝𝕕 𝕝𝕖𝕒𝕕𝕖𝕣𝕤 𝕓𝕒𝕔𝕜 ℤ𝕖𝕝𝕖𝕟𝕤𝕜𝕪 𝕒𝕗𝕥𝕖𝕣 𝕔𝕝𝕒𝕤𝕙 𝕨𝕚𝕥𝕙 𝕋𝕣𝕦𝕞𝕡

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Perhaps Trump will get lucky and conditions in the country will improve enough to validate his agenda, but it’s more likely that the same sour public climate that overwhelmed Joe Biden will now afflict his predecessor and successor. 

FiveThirtyEight

The Reuters/Ipsos survey that pushed Trump’s numbers into negative territory showed a mood very different from the 47th president’s boasts about a new “golden age” for our country:

Thirty-four percent of Americans say that the country is headed in the right direction, compared to 49% who say it is off on the wrong track. When it comes to several specific issues, Americans are more likely to say things are off on the wrong track than going in the right direction: cost of living (22% right direction / 60% wrong track), the national economy (31% right direction / 51% wrong track), national politics (33% right direction / 50% wrong track), American foreign policy (33% right direction / 49% wrong track), and employment and jobs (33% right direction / 47% wrong track).

So all the hype about Trump being a popular president who was in the midst of engineering a major realignment of the American electorate is already looking more than a bit hollow. Trump has a solid Republican base of support and a solid Democratic opposition, with independents currently leaning towards the Democratic Party on most issues.

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Additional Reading:

𝕌𝕊 𝕤𝕡𝕖𝕖𝕕𝕤 𝕦𝕡 𝕚𝕟𝕥𝕖𝕘𝕣𝕒𝕥𝕚𝕠𝕟 𝕠𝕗 𝕡𝕒𝕣𝕥𝕟𝕖𝕣𝕤 𝕝𝕚𝕜𝕖 ℕℤ 𝕚𝕟𝕥𝕠 𝕞𝕚𝕝𝕚𝕥𝕒𝕣𝕪 𝕤𝕡𝕒𝕔𝕖 𝕠𝕡𝕖𝕣𝕒𝕥𝕚𝕠𝕟𝕤

𝕋𝕣𝕦𝕞𝕡 𝕘𝕖𝕟𝕖𝕣𝕠𝕦𝕤𝕝𝕪 𝕞𝕒𝕜𝕖𝕤 𝕦𝕡 𝕒𝕟 𝕒𝕡𝕡𝕣𝕠𝕧𝕒𝕝 𝕣𝕒𝕥𝕚𝕟𝕘 𝕗𝕠𝕣 𝕙𝕚𝕞𝕤𝕖𝕝𝕗, 𝕕𝕖𝕗𝕪𝕚𝕟𝕘 𝕣𝕖𝕒𝕝𝕚𝕥𝕪

𝕋𝕣𝕦𝕞𝕡 𝕤𝕒𝕪𝕤 𝕌𝕜𝕣𝕒𝕚𝕟𝕖 𝕤𝕥𝕒𝕣𝕥𝕖𝕕 𝕨𝕒𝕣 𝕥𝕙𝕒𝕥'𝕤 𝕜𝕚𝕝𝕝𝕚𝕟𝕘 𝕚𝕥𝕤 𝕔𝕚𝕥𝕚𝕫𝕖𝕟𝕤. 𝕎𝕙𝕒𝕥 𝕒𝕣𝕖 𝕥𝕙𝕖 𝕗𝕒𝕔𝕥𝕤?

𝕄𝕒𝕘𝕒 𝕚𝕟𝕗𝕝𝕦𝕖𝕟𝕔𝕖𝕣 𝕔𝕝𝕒𝕚𝕞𝕤 𝕤𝕙𝕖 𝕘𝕒𝕧𝕖 𝕓𝕚𝕣𝕥𝕙 𝕥𝕠 𝕄𝕦𝕤𝕜’𝕤 𝟙𝟛𝕥𝕙 𝕔𝕙𝕚𝕝𝕕

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Perhaps Trump’s agenda will gain momentum and support, but since he’s not trying to reach out beyond his party’s base at all, he’s going to need a lift from Americans who only voted for him in 2024 as the lesser of evils and may not vote in the 2026 midterms at all. 

At present Trump has lost whatever presidential “honeymoon” he initially enjoyed after his return to the White House, and needs to find new converts to return to genuine popularity. 

He’s not off to a great start.

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