ℕℤ ℙ𝕠𝕝𝕝𝕤: 𝕃𝕦𝕩𝕠𝕟 𝔾𝕠𝕧𝕥 ℍ𝕚𝕥𝕤 𝕃𝕠𝕨𝕤, 𝟜𝟡% 𝕊𝕖𝕖 𝕎𝕣𝕠𝕟𝕘 𝔻𝕚𝕣𝕖𝕔𝕥𝕚𝕠𝕟.

ℕℤ ℙ𝕠𝕝𝕝𝕤: 𝕃𝕦𝕩𝕠𝕟 𝔾𝕠𝕧𝕥 ℍ𝕚𝕥𝕤 𝕃𝕠𝕨𝕤, 𝟜𝟡% 𝕊𝕖𝕖 𝕎𝕣𝕠𝕟𝕘 𝔻𝕚𝕣𝕖𝕔𝕥𝕚𝕠𝕟.

ℝ𝕖𝕔𝕖𝕟𝕥 𝕡𝕠𝕝𝕝𝕤 𝕤𝕙𝕠𝕨 𝔸𝕠𝕥𝕖𝕒𝕣𝕠𝕒'𝕤 ℕ𝕒𝕥𝕚𝕠𝕟𝕒𝕝-𝕝𝕖𝕕 𝕘𝕠𝕧𝕖𝕣𝕟𝕞𝕖𝕟𝕥 𝕦𝕟𝕕𝕖𝕣𝕡𝕖𝕣𝕗𝕠𝕣𝕞𝕚𝕟𝕘, 𝕨𝕚𝕥𝕙 𝟜𝟠-𝟜𝟡% 𝕧𝕚𝕖𝕨𝕚𝕟𝕘 𝕥𝕙𝕖 𝕔𝕠𝕦𝕟𝕥𝕣𝕪 𝕒𝕤 𝕙𝕖𝕒𝕕𝕚𝕟𝕘 𝕚𝕟 𝕥𝕙𝕖 𝕨𝕣𝕠𝕟𝕘 𝕕𝕚𝕣𝕖𝕔𝕥𝕚𝕠𝕟, 𝕃𝕦𝕩𝕠𝕟'𝕤 𝕒𝕡𝕡𝕣𝕠𝕧𝕒𝕝 𝕒𝕥 -𝟙𝟝%, 𝕒𝕟𝕕 𝕔𝕠𝕒𝕝𝕚𝕥𝕚𝕠𝕟 𝕤𝕦𝕡𝕡𝕠𝕣𝕥 𝕥𝕚𝕖𝕕 𝕨𝕚𝕥𝕙 𝕠𝕡𝕡𝕠𝕤𝕚𝕥𝕚𝕠𝕟 𝕒𝕥 𝕒𝕣𝕠𝕦𝕟𝕕 𝟜𝟠%.

𝗪

ith the election roughly a year away, polls reveal eroding confidence in the coalition government and record-low ratings for Prime Minister Luxon, alongside widespread views that the country is veering off course.

As of October, recent opinion polls indicate that the National-led coalition government (National, ACT, and New Zealand First) is facing significant public dissatisfaction. 

A consistent majority of respondents believe the country is heading in the "wrong direction" under the current administration, with approval ratings for Prime Minister Christopher Luxon at their lowest levels since he took office. 

Party support remains closely contested, with the coalition and opposition blocs (Labour, Greens, and Te Pāti Māori) roughly tied, suggesting a potential deadlocked parliament if an election were held today. 

Below is a summary of key findings from polls conducted in 2025, focusing on the most recent ones.

In the same RNZ poll, Hipkins leads Luxon as preferred Prime Minister (23% vs. 19.6%). 

These trends suggest the government is under pressure, with polls like the September Taxpayers' Union–Curia showing a potential opposition majority and others pointing to a one-term risk for National. 

Key issues driving dissatisfaction include economic concerns and policy delivery, though specific policy polls (e.g., strong support for rates caps) show pockets of alignment with government initiatives.

𝗔𝗻𝗮𝗹𝘆𝘀𝗶𝘀: 𝔅𝔯𝔲𝔠𝔢 𝔄𝔩𝔭𝔦𝔫𝔢

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